Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.258293 1.517413 1.837849 2.271018 2.853797 3.629973e+00 4.776920
2025-01-19 0.886140 1.174159 1.582021 2.229791 3.292366 5.094838e+00 8.739451
2025-01-26 0.740184 1.049442 1.533857 2.408992 4.115523 7.781237e+00 18.402516
2025-02-02 0.637868 0.950089 1.477498 2.532632 4.917222 1.132612e+01 39.291290
2025-02-09 0.549171 0.846993 1.378256 2.526009 5.445387 1.500892e+01 79.885605
2025-02-16 0.475498 0.752391 1.266814 2.446011 5.746663 1.862229e+01 160.066411
2025-02-23 0.431455 0.701046 1.223737 2.501126 6.486200 2.578772e+01 495.619260
2025-03-02 0.400336 0.667305 1.206941 2.613581 7.536494 3.832374e+01 3527.388156
2025-03-09 0.367282 0.624107 1.160010 2.629374 8.282083 5.301286e+01 220864.682066
2025-03-16 0.331886 0.571077 1.080731 2.526338 8.466201 6.474339e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.314366 0.551524 1.073608 2.636723 9.800730 1.047236e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.294392 0.524088 1.042468 2.661225 10.771190 1.582192e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.270919 0.487060 0.983121 2.577717 11.090039 2.109968e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.251698 0.457159 0.937094 2.528108 11.633080 3.054530e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.245286 0.454369 0.959759 2.740685 14.521187 8.983073e+02 NaN
2025-04-27 0.236550 0.445220 0.963925 2.887991 17.375861 3.366469e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.223480 0.424647 0.933205 2.880082 18.818289 1.142197e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 0.209085 0.399574 0.886068 2.784715 19.169270 3.457765e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 0.200706 0.387808 0.875160 2.850397 21.823791 5.475134e+08 NaN
2025-05-25 0.194737 0.381125 0.877966 2.984693 26.153249 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.186360 0.367769 0.858676 3.003582 28.932155 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.175458 0.347298 0.814870 2.880473 28.761411 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.170978 0.342308 0.818320 3.012374 34.746608 NaN NaN